Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 297.576464 337.488441 382.097104 435.897752 499.351685 572.209284 662.768125
2025-02-09 238.358203 290.217852 353.574718 437.659909 547.820371 689.356007 888.484851
2025-02-16 201.231685 255.975575 326.684864 426.497209 566.724434 761.377293 1060.640200
2025-02-23 176.012762 231.662573 306.762044 418.158590 583.912413 829.504276 1237.355727
2025-03-02 162.469093 220.490772 301.964636 428.472900 627.167164 940.639526 1502.531786
2025-03-09 148.777600 207.088439 291.723503 428.326308 653.097946 1027.834305 1747.487325
2025-03-16 135.339485 192.394379 277.533724 419.538401 662.758826 1088.369790 1957.951847
2025-03-23 126.262612 183.170929 270.403393 420.662141 688.491439 1180.693707 2252.908439
2025-03-30 116.343200 171.643372 258.329415 411.754170 694.693789 1237.222480 2488.144631
2025-04-06 109.106965 163.646371 251.048053 409.977519 713.297073 1320.730972 2806.934856
2025-04-13 99.487819 151.017121 234.934475 390.590738 695.330862 1325.899482 2940.553971
2025-04-20 97.057490 149.928623 238.088372 406.496496 749.022427 1493.865593 3540.585266
2025-04-27 95.548534 150.386823 244.179421 429.176114 821.614942 1723.966988 4413.935014
2025-05-04 90.792642 144.926765 239.309659 430.076568 848.144270 1852.568131 5050.451705
2025-05-11 84.871505 136.973483 229.192032 419.222291 846.646838 1910.722068 5488.067640
2025-05-18 79.868588 130.287370 220.850122 411.052125 850.052378 1982.713245 6009.163960
2025-05-25 77.606206 128.344494 221.221749 421.150707 898.460110 2189.804288 7141.959320
2025-06-01 74.291186 124.234857 217.075815 421.007147 921.703922 2331.513203 8103.531061
2025-06-08 70.288678 118.586431 209.479099 412.403576 922.084275 2405.062288 8819.387106
2025-06-15 67.651984 115.325686 206.348588 413.503794 948.093043 2566.339723 10055.823455
2025-06-22 64.194148 110.291846 199.275570 404.781885 946.291458 2636.840177 10894.138521
2025-06-29 61.679468 106.920463 195.349647 403.042233 963.674064 2778.247756 12230.632055
2025-07-06 57.686339 100.464426 184.627951 384.056764 929.287162 2728.318592 12432.979368